Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XTZ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-02 0.529966 0.590747 0.656475 0.732966 0.819697 0.915173 1.028488
2025-03-09 0.440398 0.525151 0.624045 0.748541 0.901889 1.085626 1.323984
2025-03-16 0.380730 0.474321 0.589099 0.741341 0.939640 1.191456 1.539077
2025-03-23 0.343482 0.443394 0.571002 0.747717 0.988884 1.310547 1.778861
2025-03-30 0.308563 0.410254 0.544612 0.737558 1.011538 1.392718 1.973976
2025-04-06 0.282135 0.385035 0.525142 0.732996 1.038902 1.481170 2.184921
2025-04-13 0.252038 0.351606 0.490669 0.702765 1.024651 1.505736 2.300239
2025-04-20 0.237380 0.338497 0.483365 0.710559 1.066266 1.616244 2.559982
2025-04-27 0.224699 0.326989 0.477045 0.718597 1.108035 1.729862 2.836721
2025-05-04 0.212920 0.315736 0.469915 0.724230 1.145715 1.839543 3.118570
2025-05-11 0.201563 0.304152 0.461167 0.726129 1.176795 1.940365 3.395741
2025-05-18 0.192879 0.296009 0.457016 0.734829 1.219544 2.064549 3.729608
2025-05-25 0.179179 0.279151 0.438018 0.717667 1.216921 2.110070 3.924300
2025-06-01 0.172675 0.273501 0.436883 0.730905 1.269407 2.261058 4.345616
2025-06-08 0.163019 0.261933 0.424955 0.724046 1.284254 2.342577 4.636159
2025-06-15 0.156530 0.255196 0.420644 0.730242 1.323668 2.474782 5.050007
2025-06-22 0.147881 0.244189 0.408150 0.720352 1.331124 2.544103 5.336147
2025-06-29 0.140806 0.235453 0.399021 0.715910 1.348623 2.635202 5.683099
2025-07-06 0.130475 0.220375 0.377608 0.686473 1.313354 2.612608 5.763292
2025-07-13 0.126352 0.216112 0.375482 0.694063 1.354234 2.756104 6.258941
2025-07-20 0.122525 0.212138 0.373592 0.701890 1.396184 2.906202 6.792991
2025-07-27 0.118621 0.207782 0.370680 0.707374 1.433525 3.049816 7.332322
2025-08-03 0.114494 0.202765 0.366180 0.709223 1.463014 3.178425 7.852092